Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003092 0.003330 0.003590 0.003898 0.004256 0.004665 0.005172
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.002724 0.003036 0.003401 0.003866 0.004459 0.005209 0.006270
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002544 0.002914 0.003370 0.003990 0.004849 0.006059 0.008041
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002400 0.002808 0.003331 0.004083 0.005203 0.006952 0.010312
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002228 0.002643 0.003189 0.004004 0.005282 0.007440 0.012198
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002064 0.002470 0.003015 0.003849 0.005206 0.007635 0.013630
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001969 0.002381 0.002945 0.003835 0.005350 0.008273 0.016751
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001809 0.002191 0.002717 0.003551 0.004984 0.007789 0.016208
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001755 0.002145 0.002692 0.003582 0.005176 0.008543 0.020764
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001730 0.002137 0.002720 0.003699 0.005552 0.009879 0.031335
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001682 0.002092 0.002689 0.003714 0.005728 0.010814 0.045013
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001669 0.002096 0.002731 0.003858 0.006205 0.012937 0.108680
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001617 0.002043 0.002686 0.003853 0.006379 0.014345 0.385934
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001554 0.001972 0.002608 0.003778 0.006380 0.015167 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001530 0.001959 0.002622 0.003879 0.006841 0.018599 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001504 0.001940 0.002625 0.003959 0.007283 0.022997 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001453 0.001879 0.002553 0.003881 0.007263 0.024555 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001394 0.001803 0.002452 0.003733 0.007010 0.024041 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001361 0.001767 0.002417 0.003719 0.007158 0.027337 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001287 0.001666 0.002266 0.003450 0.006485 0.022318 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001267 0.001647 0.002256 0.003479 0.006734 0.026425 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001260 0.001650 0.002283 0.003591 0.007283 0.036662 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.001240 0.001628 0.002267 0.003604 0.007517 0.045306 NaN